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››ASML

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) Stock Valuation — DCF Analysis

Semiconductors · NASDAQ

Current Price

$1394.08

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

Calculate ASML Intrinsic Value

Run a full DCF analysis on ASML Holding N.V. with auto-filled fundamentals, adjustable assumptions, and sensitivity heatmap.

Company Overview

ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, markets, sells, and services advanced semiconductor equipment systems for chipmakers. It offers advanced semiconductor equipment systems, including lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. The company also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, it offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip defects. Further, the company provides computational lithography solutions, and lithography systems and control software solutions; and refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems, as well as offers customer support and related services. It operates in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. and changed its name to ASML Holding N.V. in 2001. ASML Holding N.V. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.

Financial Metrics — ASML Stock Valuation Data

ROIC (TTM)

34.9%

ROE (TTM)

52.0%

FCF Yield

1.95%

Based on trailing twelve-month data, ASML shows a free cash flow per share of N/A and a ROIC of 34.9%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of N/A and FCF yield of 1.95% are important context metrics when evaluating ASML's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of ASML?

The intrinsic value of ASML depends on assumptions about future growth rate, discount rate (WACC), and terminal value. A DCF model discounts projected free cash flows back to present value — small changes in WACC can shift the estimate by 20% or more, which is why sensitivity analysis is essential.

Is ASML undervalued?

Whether ASML is undervalued depends on comparing the DCF-derived intrinsic value to the current market price of $1394.08. A positive margin of safety (intrinsic value above market price) suggests potential undervaluation, but the degree of confidence depends on the reliability of your growth and discount rate assumptions.

How do I value ASML stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on ASML Holding N.V.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Semiconductors industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting ASML's risk profile, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to ASML?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For ASML Holding N.V., this means projecting how much free cash flow the Semiconductors will produce over the next 5-10 years, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. ASML's ROIC of 34.9% indicates strong capital efficiency, which supports higher growth assumptions in the DCF model.

How does WACC affect ASML stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For ASML, the capital structure and equity risk premium determine WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%.

Learn More

  • ASML AI Moat & Risk Analysis → — AI-generated competitive moat and investment risk analysis
  • See ASML PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
  • DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
  • PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
  • WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
  • Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
  • How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors

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