当前价格
$365.44
市盈率(TTM)
309.7x
内在价值
超出可靠范围
Tesla, Inc.(TSLA)的 PE 模型结果落在其可靠范围之外,通常是因为盈利异常偏低、为负或波动较大。请对此处任何单一公允价值数字格外谨慎看待。
PE 模型如何运作 · 用 PE 模式重新计算 · TSLA 内在价值(DCF 视角)
由于 TSLA 的模型结果落在其可靠范围之外,此处不给出高估或低估的判断。请改用下方的 PE 计算器测试你自己的假设。
竞争护城河
↑品牌与忠诚度
特斯拉凭借其创新和高性能电动汽车,在全球建立了强大的品牌认知度和忠实客户群体。这种品牌吸引力转化为较高的客户忠诚度,并有助于其在市场中保持领先地位。
↑技术与软件优势
特斯拉在电动汽车技术、电池管理和自动驾驶软件方面拥有领先优势。其持续的研发投入和软件更新能力,为用户提供了独特的体验,并增加了用户粘性。
↑充电网络与规模效应
特斯拉的超级充电站网络是其重要的竞争壁垒,为车主提供了便利的充电解决方案。随着销量的增长,规模效应进一步降低了生产和运营成本。
投资风险
↓埃隆·马斯克依赖性
公司高度依赖其CEO埃隆·马斯克的愿景和领导力。其个人行为和公众形象可能对公司声誉和股价产生重大影响。
↓生产与交付挑战
尽管特斯拉在扩大生产规模,但仍可能面临供应链中断、生产瓶颈或交付延迟等挑战,影响其营收增长和客户满意度。
↓宏观经济与地缘政治
全球经济衰退、利率上升或地缘政治冲突可能影响消费者对高价汽车的需求,并对特斯拉的全球供应链和市场准入造成不利影响。
基准情形
基准情形假设:盈利年增长率 18.5%、目标 P/E 倍数 50x、折现率 10%、预测 5 年。数据截至 2026-09-11。
本基准情形采用默认假设,不构成投资建议。当目标 PE 或盈利增长率变化时,公允价值会显著改变。打开计算器可设置你自己的假设,并查看完整的敏感性区间。
Tesla, Inc. operates globally, specializing in the creation, production, and distribution of electric vehicles, alongside comprehensive energy generation and storage solutions. Its market reach extends across the United States, China, and various other international regions. The company's operations are primarily divided into two main segments: its Automotive business and its Energy Generation and Storage division. Within its Automotive division, Tesla not only provides a range of electric cars but also generates revenue from selling automotive regulatory credits. This segment further encompasses a variety of post-sale services, including non-warranty vehicle support, sales of pre-owned vehicles, various retail products, and car insurance offerings. Customers can acquire Tesla's sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct sales, purchases of used vehicles, or via in-app upgrades often facilitated by the extensive Tesla Supercharger network. The company supports these acquisitions with financing and leasing options. Furthermore, it ensures vehicle upkeep through its proprietary service centers and a fleet of mobile technicians, complemented by both standard and extended vehicle warranty programs. The Energy Generation and Storage segment focuses on the development, manufacturing, setup, sale, and rental of solar power systems and energy storage products, along with associated services. This caters to a diverse clientele, spanning residential users, commercial enterprises, industrial entities, and public utilities. Distribution channels include Tesla's online platform, physical stores, galleries, and a network of collaborative partners. The company also offers servicing and repairs for its energy products, including warranty support, and provides multiple financing avenues for those investing in its solar solutions. Founded in 2003, the corporation was initially named Tesla Motors, Inc., before officially rebranding to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Austin, Texas.
市盈率(TTM)
309.7x
PEG 比率
n/m
盈利收益率
0.32%
ROE (TTM)
4.6%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$32.01
Debt/Equity
0.11x
TSLA 的过去 12 个月市盈率反映投资者为 Tesla, Inc. 每一美元收益所支付的价格。该指标在与Auto - Manufacturers同类公司和公司自身历史区间对比时最有意义。
TSLA 的市盈率 309.7x 结合 PEG 比率 -8.24 提供了增长调整后的视角。TSLA 盈利为负,市盈率和 PEG 比率此时均无意义,无法判断股票被高估还是低估。注意 PE 估值最适合盈利稳定的成熟公司——对于高增长或周期性Auto - Manufacturers,DCF 分析可能更合适。
对 Tesla, Inc. 使用 PE 估值的步骤:(1) 将当前市盈率 (309.7x)与Auto - Manufacturers中位数对比评估相对定价,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (-8.24)以调整增长预期,(3) 参考 5 年 PE 历史区间判断当前位置,(4) 用目标 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允价值。这种相对估值方法与 DCF 的绝对估值互为补充。
TSLA 的 PEG 比率为 -8.24,由市盈率(309.7x)除以预期盈利增速计算。由于 TSLA 盈利为负,其 PEG 比率没有意义,不应被解读为低估或高估的信号。注意 PEG 的准确性取决于增长预期的可靠性。
PE 市盈率给出快速的相对定价——TSLA 相对于Auto - Manufacturers同类的估值水平。DCF 基于预期自由现金流提供绝对价值。建议用 PE 做快速筛选,用 DCF 做深度分析。两种方法各有盲区:PE 忽略了资本结构和现金流质量,DCF 则对增长率和折现率假设非常敏感。
PE 与 DCF 使用不同的方法和假设为 TSLA 估值,因此两者的结论可能不同。可对比 DCF 内在价值。
价格截至 2026-09-11。 财务数据来自 Financial Modeling Prep(过去 12 个月)· 估值方法论由 Charlie Wang 提供。
这是估计值,不构成投资建议。