Telecommunications Services · NYSE
目前價格
$49.45
PE Ratio (TTM)
12.9x
內在價值
$59.94
安全邊際 +17.5%
截至 2026-08-21,對 Verizon Communications Inc.(VZ)每股盈餘 $3.88 套用 12.7x 的獲利倍數,得出每股公允價值估算約 $59.94,目前股價為 $49.45。
基於獲利倍數的公允價值對所選倍數很敏感。在敏感度網格上,估算區間為 $46.12 至 $75.98。這是錨定獲利的相對估算,並非事實定論。如需基於現金流的視角,請參閱 DCF 頁面的內在價值估算。
PE 模型如何運作 · 用 PE 模式重新計算 · VZ 內在價值(DCF 視角)
在 $49.45 的價格下,VZ 的交易價比其基於 PE 的公允價值估算低約 17.5%,相對其獲利能力有一定折讓,但還不足以直接稱其便宜。
競爭護城河
↑網絡規模優勢
Verizon 擁有龐大且成熟的無線和光纖網絡,這需要巨額資本投入才能複製。其廣泛的覆蓋範圍為其帶來了規模經濟和客戶忠誠度。
↑客戶轉換成本
對於尋求穩定連接的消費者和企業而言,更換電信服務提供商涉及時間、費用和潛在的服務中斷。這增加了客戶的黏性。
↑AI 基礎設施潛力
Verizon 的光纖網絡為 AI 基礎設施提供關鍵連接,並已與 Google 等公司達成協議。這項新興優勢有望推動未來增長。
投資風險
↓高額債務負擔
Verizon 持有大量債務,這可能限制其在網絡升級和新技術投資方面的靈活性,並在利率上升時增加財務壓力。
↓監管環境變化
電信行業受到嚴格監管,政府政策的變化,例如頻譜拍賣規則或數據隱私規定,可能對 Verizon 的運營和盈利能力產生重大影響。
↓基礎設施維護成本
維護和升級其龐大的網絡基礎設施需要持續且龐大的資本支出,這對公司的現金流和利潤率構成挑戰。
基準情形
內在價值
$59.94
安全邊際
+17.5%
預期年化報酬
+3.9%
基準情形假設:盈餘年成長率 6.6%、目標 P/E 倍數 12.74x、折現率 10%、預測 5 年。資料截至 2026-08-21。
本基準情形採用預設假設,不構成投資建議。當目標 PE 或盈餘成長率變化時,公允價值會顯著改變。開啟計算器可設定你自己的假設,並查看完整的敏感度區間。
Verizon Communications Inc. operates as a prominent global provider of diverse communication, technology, information, and entertainment solutions, catering to individuals, enterprises, and government entities worldwide through its various divisions. Its Consumer segment focuses on individual customers, supplying a broad spectrum of mobile service options, including both subscription-based (postpaid) and pay-as-you-go (prepaid) plans. This segment also facilitates internet access for portable devices such as laptop computers and tablets, and offers a variety of wireless hardware, ranging from smartphones and traditional mobile handsets to advanced wireless-enabled gadgets like tablets and smartwatches. Additionally, it delivers essential residential fixed connectivity services, which encompass internet, television, and voice communication. Verizon also extends its network capabilities by providing access to mobile virtual network operators. As of December 31, 2021, this segment reported approximately 115 million wireless retail connections, 7 million wireline broadband connections, and 4 million Fios video connections. The company's Business segment is dedicated to providing enterprise-level solutions. It offers comprehensive network connectivity products, including private networking, private cloud integration, virtual and software-defined networking, and high-speed internet access services. This segment further delivers sophisticated internet protocol-based voice and video communication tools, unified communications and collaboration platforms, and specialized customer contact center solutions. Beyond core connectivity, it provides a suite of managed services and data security offerings. Its extensive portfolio also covers domestic and international voice and data services, such as calling, messaging, conferencing, advanced contact center functionalities, and dedicated private line and data access networks. Moreover, the Business segment furnishes customer premises equipment, along with essential installation, maintenance, and on-site support services, and a wide array of Internet of Things (IoT) products and services. By December 31, 2021, this segment had approximately 27 million wireless retail postpaid connections and 477 thousand wireline broadband connections. Verizon Communications Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and holds its corporate headquarters in New York, New York. The company, which was originally known as Bell Atlantic Corporation, officially adopted its current name in June 2000.
PE Ratio (TTM)
12.9x
PEG Ratio
n/m
獲利收益率
7.85%
ROE (TTM)
15.5%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$33.32
股息收益率
5.65%
Debt/Equity
1.81x
VZ 的過去 12 個月本益比反映投資者為 Verizon Communications Inc. 每一美元收益所支付的價格。該指標在與Telecommunications Services同類公司和公司自身歷史區間對比時最有意義。
VZ 的本益比 12.9x 結合 PEG 比率 -1.18 提供了成長調整後的視角。VZ 獲利為負,本益比和 PEG 比率此時均無意義,無法判斷股票被高估還是低估。注意 PE 估值最適合獲利穩定的成熟公司——對於高成長或週期性Telecommunications Services,DCF 分析可能更合適。
對 Verizon Communications Inc. 使用 PE 估值的步驟:(1) 將目前本益比 (12.9x)與Telecommunications Services中位數對比評估相對定價,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (-1.18)以調整成長預期,(3) 參考 5 年 PE 歷史區間判斷目前位置,(4) 用目標 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允價值。這種相對估值方法與 DCF 的絕對估值互為補充。
VZ 的 PEG 比率為 -1.18,由本益比(12.9x)除以預期獲利成長率計算。由於 VZ 獲利為負,其 PEG 比率沒有意義,不應被解讀為低估或高估的訊號。注意 PEG 的準確性取決於成長預期的可靠性。
PE 本益比給出快速的相對定價——VZ 相對於Telecommunications Services同類的估值水準。DCF 基於預期自由現金流提供絕對價值。對於 VZ,ROE 達到 15.5%,兩種方法都值得使用——PE 做市場對比,DCF 驗證基本面是否支撐目前價格。兩種方法各有盲區:PE 忽略了資本結構和現金流品質,DCF 則對成長率和折現率假設非常敏感。
本益比與 DCF 使用不同的方法和假設為 VZ 估值,因此兩者的結論可能不同。可對比 DCF 內在價值。
價格截至 2026-08-21。 財務數據來自 Financial Modeling Prep(過去 12 個月)· 估值方法論由 Charlie Wang 提供。
這是估計值,不構成投資建議。