Current Price
$48.15
PE Ratio (TTM)
23.8x
Intrinsic Value
$55.63
+13.4% margin of safety
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Regulated Monopoly Power
NiSource operates as a regulated utility, granting it exclusive rights to provide gas and electric services within its service territories. This regulatory structure creates a significant barrier to entry for competitors.
↑Essential Service Demand
The demand for natural gas and electricity is non-discretionary, ensuring a stable and predictable revenue stream for NiSource. Customers rely on these services for daily life and business operations.
↑Long-Term Infrastructure Investments
NiSource's substantial investments in aging infrastructure, often mandated by regulators, create high switching costs for customers and require significant capital for new entrants to replicate.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Regulatory Uncertainty
Changes in regulatory policies, rate decisions, or environmental mandates can significantly impact NiSource's profitability and operational flexibility. Future rate increases are not guaranteed.
↓Capital Expenditure Needs
The company faces ongoing, substantial capital expenditure requirements for infrastructure upgrades and maintenance. Failure to secure adequate funding or execute these projects efficiently poses a risk.
↓Interest Rate Sensitivity
As a capital-intensive utility, NiSource is sensitive to rising interest rates, which increase the cost of debt financing for its extensive infrastructure projects and can pressure earnings.
Base case
A base case PE valuation for NI estimates a fair value of about $55.63 per share, against a current price of $48.15. The model assumes 8.9% annual earnings growth, a 24x target PE multiple, and a 10% discount rate.
Intrinsic Value
$55.63
Margin of safety
+13.4%
Expected annual return
+2.9%
Base case assumptions: 8.9% annual earnings growth, 24x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-06-29.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for NiSource Inc respond.
Open PE Calculator for NINiSource Inc., an energy holding company, operates as a regulated natural gas and electric utility company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Columbia Operations and NIPSCO Operations. The company provides natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers through approximately 37,300 miles of distribution main pipeline and the associated individual customer service lines; and 310 miles of transmission main pipeline in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, and Maryland. It also generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 0.5 million customers in various counties in the northern part of Indiana, as well as engages in wholesale electric and transmission transactions. It owns and operates steam coal generating stations in Wheatfield and Michigan City; combined cycle gas turbine in West Terre Haute; natural gas generating units in Wheatfield; hydro generating plants in Carroll County and White County; wind generating units in White County; and solar generating units in Sullivan County, Gibson County, Jasper County, and White County. The company was formerly known as NIPSCO Industries, Inc. and changed its name to NiSource Inc. in April 1999. NiSource Inc. was founded in 1847 and is headquartered in Merrillville, Indiana.
PE Ratio (TTM)
23.8x
PEG Ratio
2.77
Earnings Yield
4.17%
ROE (TTM)
10.4%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$14.24
Dividend Yield
2.41%
Debt/Equity
1.74x
The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of NI reflects how much investors pay per dollar of NiSource Inc's earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Regulated Gas peers and the company's own historical range.
NI's PE of 23.8x combined with a PEG ratio of 2.77 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. A PEG above 2.0 suggests NI may be richly valued even accounting for growth. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Regulated Gas, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.
To value NiSource Inc using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (23.8x) against the Regulated Gas median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (2.77) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.
NI's PEG ratio is 2.77, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (23.8x) by the expected earnings growth rate. A PEG above 2.0 often signals the stock is priced aggressively relative to its growth trajectory. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.
PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how NI is priced versus Regulated Gas peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For the most reliable valuation, use PE as a quick comparability screen and DCF for a deeper fundamental analysis. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.
P/E and DCF value NI with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.
Price as of 2026-06-29. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.