Insurance - Diversified · NYSE
目前價格
$505.54
PE Ratio (TTM)
12.7x
內在價值
$540.16
安全邊際 +6.4%
競爭護城河
↑保險浮存金優勢
龐大的保險業務產生巨額浮存金,這筆資金可供長期投資,產生額外收益,形成獨特且持續的資本優勢。
↑多元化業務組合
涵蓋保險、鐵路、能源、製造等多元化業務,降低單一產業風險,並能從不同領域的經濟增長中獲益。
↑品牌聲譽與文化
股神巴菲特建立的強大品牌聲譽和價值投資文化,吸引頂尖人才和長期股東,並有助於其併購策略的成功。
投資風險
↓繼任者風險
儘管葛瑞格·艾貝爾已接任,但其領導風格和決策能否延續巴菲特的成功模式,仍是市場關注的焦點。
↓房地產市場波動
對房地產開發商的投資,在房市低迷時可能面臨資產減值風險,影響整體投資組合表現。
↓AI技術影響
AI技術的快速發展可能顛覆傳統產業,包括保險業的核保、理賠流程,對其長期競爭力構成潛在威脅。
基準情形
BRK-B 的基準情形 PE 估值估算每股公允價值約為 $540.16,目前股價為 $505.54。該模型假設盈餘年成長率 3.5%、目標 P/E 倍數 12.69x、折現率 10%。
內在價值
$540.16
安全邊際
+6.4%
預期年化報酬
+1.3%
基準情形假設:盈餘年成長率 3.5%、目標 P/E 倍數 12.69x、折現率 10%、預測 5 年。資料截至 2026-10-06。
本基準情形採用預設假設,不構成投資建議。當目標 PE 或盈餘成長率變化時,公允價值會顯著改變。開啟計算器可設定你自己的假設,並查看完整的敏感度區間。
Berkshire Hathaway Inc., established in 1998 and headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, operates as a vast global conglomerate with diverse business interests. Its core operations primarily encompass insurance, freight rail transportation, and utility services. The company provides a comprehensive suite of insurance and reinsurance products, including coverage for property, casualty, life, accident, and health. Across North America, it manages extensive railway networks dedicated to freight transport. Its utility division is responsible for generating, transmitting, storing, and distributing electricity sourced from various origins such as natural gas, coal, wind, solar, hydroelectric, nuclear, and geothermal energy. This segment also oversees natural gas infrastructure, including distribution networks, storage facilities, interstate pipelines, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) operations, alongside its interests in coal mining. Beyond these foundational sectors, Berkshire Hathaway boasts a significant manufacturing footprint. It produces a wide array of goods ranging from confectionery and specialty chemicals to metal cutting tools and components for both aerospace and power generation applications. Its manufacturing portfolio also extends to flooring products, insulation, roofing materials, engineered building components, paints, coatings, and bricks. The company is also involved in residential construction, offering both manufactured and site-built homes, supplemented by related lending and financial services. Its product offerings further include recreational vehicles, apparel, footwear, jewelry, custom picture framing, and alkaline batteries. On the industrial side, it manufactures specialized components like castings, forgings, fasteners, aerostructures, and precision parts, often utilizing advanced alloys such as cobalt, nickel, and titanium. Additionally, Berkshire Hathaway provides a variety of services, which include distributing electronic components, franchising and servicing quick-service restaurants, offering logistics, grocery, and foodservice distribution, as well as professional aviation training and shared aircraft ownership programs. Finally, the company maintains a substantial retail presence, selling an extensive selection of products such as automobiles, furniture, home appliances, electronics, computers, jewelry, and kitchenware, in addition to motorcycle clothing and equipment.
PE Ratio (TTM)
12.7x
PEG Ratio
0.35
獲利收益率
7.88%
ROE (TTM)
11.9%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$267887.88
Debt/Equity
0.17x
BRK-B 的過去 12 個月本益比反映投資者為 Berkshire Hathaway Inc. 每一美元收益所支付的價格。該指標在與Insurance - Diversified同類公司和公司自身歷史區間對比時最有意義。
BRK-B 的本益比 12.7x 結合 PEG 比率 0.35 提供了成長調整後的視角。PEG 低於 1.0 表明 本益比相對於獲利成長率偏低。注意 PE 估值最適合獲利穩定的成熟公司——對於高成長或週期性Insurance - Diversified,DCF 分析可能更合適。
對 Berkshire Hathaway Inc. 使用 PE 估值的步驟:(1) 將目前本益比 (12.7x)與Insurance - Diversified中位數對比評估相對定價,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (0.35)以調整成長預期,(3) 參考 5 年 PE 歷史區間判斷目前位置,(4) 用目標 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允價值。這種相對估值方法與 DCF 的絕對估值互為補充。
BRK-B 的 PEG 比率為 0.35,由本益比(12.7x)除以預期獲利成長率計算。PEG 低於 1.0 意味著本益比相對於預期獲利成長率偏低。注意 PEG 的準確性取決於成長預期的可靠性。
PE 本益比給出快速的相對定價——BRK-B 相對於Insurance - Diversified同類的估值水準。DCF 基於預期自由現金流提供絕對價值。建議用 PE 做快速篩選,用 DCF 做深度分析。兩種方法各有盲區:PE 忽略了資本結構和現金流品質,DCF 則對成長率和折現率假設非常敏感。
本益比與 DCF 使用不同的方法和假設為 BRK-B 估值,因此兩者的結論可能不同。可對比 DCF 內在價值。
價格截至 2026-10-06。 財務數據來自 Financial Modeling Prep(過去 12 個月)· 估值方法論由 Charlie Wang 提供。
這是估計值,不構成投資建議。