目前價格
$258.39
PE Ratio (TTM)
20.4x
內在價值
$389.44
安全邊際 +33.7%
截至 2026-10-07,對 Amazon.com, Inc.(AMZN)每股盈餘 $12.67 套用 20.4x 的獲利倍數,得出每股公允價值估算約 $389.44,目前股價為 $258.39。
基於獲利倍數的公允價值對所選倍數很敏感。在敏感度網格上,估算區間為 $316.12 至 $473.03。這是錨定獲利的相對估算,並非事實定論。如需基於現金流的視角,請參閱 DCF 頁面的內在價值估算。
PE 模型如何運作 · 用 PE 模式重新計算 · AMZN 內在價值(DCF 視角)
在 $258.39 的價格下,AMZN 遠低於其基於 PE 的公允價值估算。按此模型,相對其獲利能力該股看起來便宜,但在過度解讀前請先核實獲利是否可持續。
競爭護城河
投資風險
基準情形
內在價值
$389.44
安全邊際
+33.7%
預期年化報酬
+8.6%
基準情形假設:盈餘年成長率 14.6%、目標 P/E 倍數 20.39x、折現率 10%、預測 5 年。資料截至 2026-10-07。
本基準情形採用預設假設,不構成投資建議。當目標 PE 或盈餘成長率變化時,公允價值會顯著改變。開啟計算器可設定你自己的假設,並查看完整的敏感度區間。
Amazon.com, Inc. operates a vast global retail enterprise, distributing consumer goods and subscription services through both its extensive online platforms and a network of physical stores across North America and internationally. Its operations are structured into three primary segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The company's product offerings encompass both merchandise and content procured for direct resale, alongside items sold by third-party merchants on its platform. Furthermore, the company develops and markets its own range of electronic devices, such as Kindle e-readers, Fire tablets and TVs, Ring, Blink, eero, and Echo products. It also invests in the development and production of original media content. Amazon provides various programs designed to enable independent sellers to offer their products, and empowers authors, musicians, filmmakers, Twitch streamers, and app developers to publish and commercialize their content. Beyond this, it delivers a comprehensive suite of cloud computing solutions, including compute, storage, database, analytics, and machine learning services through AWS. The company also offers fulfillment services, advertising solutions, and digital content subscriptions. A key offering is Amazon Prime, its exclusive membership program. Amazon caters to a wide array of clientele, including individual consumers, third-party sellers, software developers, enterprise clients, content creators, and advertisers. Incorporated in 1994, Amazon.com, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Seattle, Washington.
PE Ratio (TTM)
20.4x
PEG Ratio
0.23
獲利收益率
4.90%
ROE (TTM)
30.5%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$72.12
Debt/Equity
0.40x
AMZN 的過去 12 個月本益比反映投資者為 Amazon.com, Inc. 每一美元收益所支付的價格。該指標在與Specialty Retail同類公司和公司自身歷史區間對比時最有意義。
AMZN 的本益比 20.4x 結合 PEG 比率 0.23 提供了成長調整後的視角。PEG 低於 1.0 表明 本益比相對於獲利成長率偏低。注意 PE 估值最適合獲利穩定的成熟公司——對於高成長或週期性Specialty Retail,DCF 分析可能更合適。
對 Amazon.com, Inc. 使用 PE 估值的步驟:(1) 將目前本益比 (20.4x)與Specialty Retail中位數對比評估相對定價,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (0.23)以調整成長預期,(3) 參考 5 年 PE 歷史區間判斷目前位置,(4) 用目標 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允價值。這種相對估值方法與 DCF 的絕對估值互為補充。
AMZN 的 PEG 比率為 0.23,由本益比(20.4x)除以預期獲利成長率計算。PEG 低於 1.0 意味著本益比相對於預期獲利成長率偏低。注意 PEG 的準確性取決於成長預期的可靠性。
PE 本益比給出快速的相對定價——AMZN 相對於Specialty Retail同類的估值水準。DCF 基於預期自由現金流提供絕對價值。對於 AMZN,ROE 達到 30.5%,兩種方法都值得使用——PE 做市場對比,DCF 驗證基本面是否支撐目前價格。兩種方法各有盲區:PE 忽略了資本結構和現金流品質,DCF 則對成長率和折現率假設非常敏感。
本益比與 DCF 使用不同的方法和假設為 AMZN 估值,因此兩者的結論可能不同。可對比 DCF 內在價值。
價格截至 2026-10-07。 財務數據來自 Financial Modeling Prep(過去 12 個月)· 估值方法論由 Charlie Wang 提供。
這是估計值,不構成投資建議。