Construction Materials · NYSE
当前价格
$261.46
内在价值
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对 Vulcan Materials Company 运行完整的 DCF 分析,自动填充基本面数据,可调节假设参数,含敏感性热力图。
Vulcan Materials Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies construction aggregates primarily in the United States. It operates through four segments: Aggregates, Asphalt, Concrete, and Calcium. The Aggregates segment provides crushed stones, sand and gravel, sand, and other aggregates; and related products and services that are applied in construction and maintenance of highways, streets, and other public works, as well as in the construction of housing and commercial, industrial, and other nonresidential facilities. The Asphalt Mix segment offers asphalt mix in Alabama, Arizona, California, New Mexico, Tennessee, and Texas, as well as engages in the asphalt construction paving activity in Alabama, Tennessee, and Texas. The Concrete segment provides ready-mixed concrete in California, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas and Virginia, and Washington D.C. The Calcium segment mines, produces, and sells calcium products for the animal feed, plastics, and water treatment industries. The company was formerly known as Virginia Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to Vulcan Materials Company. Vulcan Materials Company was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.
ROIC (TTM)
8.0%
ROE (TTM)
12.8%
FCF Yield
3.33%
基于过去 12 个月的数据,VMC 每股自由现金流为 N/A,投入资本回报率(ROIC)为 8.0%,这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A,FCF 收益率为 3.33%,是评估 VMC 相对估值的重要参考指标。
VMC 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率(WACC)和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上,因此敏感性分析至关重要。
VMC 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $261.46 的比较。正的安全边际(内在价值高于市价)暗示潜在低估,但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 Vulcan Materials Company 进行 DCF 估值的步骤:(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础,(2) 根据Construction Materials行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长,(3) 选择反映 VMC 风险的折现率(WACC),(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF(折现现金流)根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 Vulcan Materials Company,这意味着预测Construction Materials在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流,再折现到今天的价值。VMC 的 ROIC 为 8.0%,显示中等水平的资本回报。
WACC(加权平均资本成本)是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 VMC,资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%,内在价值通常下降 10-15%。