Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges · NYSE
当前价格
$424.84
内在价值
使用下方计算器估算
对 Moody's Corporation 运行完整的 DCF 分析，自动填充基本面数据，可调节假设参数，含敏感性热力图。
Moody's Corporation operates as an integrated risk assessment firm worldwide. It operates in two segments, Moody's Investors Service and Moody's Analytics. The Moody's Investors Service segment publishes credit ratings and provides assessment services on various debt obligations, programs and facilities, and entities that issue such obligations, such as various corporate, financial institution, and governmental obligations, as well as and structured finance securities. This segment provides ratings in approximately 140 countries. Its ratings are disseminated through press releases to the public through electronic media, including the internet and real-time information systems used by securities traders and investors. This segment has rated approximately 5,000 non-financial corporates; 3,600 financial institutions; 16,000 public finance issuers; 145 sovereigns; 47 supranational institutions; 459 sub-sovereigns; and 1,000 infrastructure and project finance issuers, as well as 9,100 structured finance deals. The Moody's Analytics segment develops a range of products and services that support the risk management activities of institutional participants in financial markets; and offers subscription based research, data, and analytical products comprising credit ratings, credit research, quantitative credit scores and other analytical tools, economic research and forecasts, business intelligence and company information products, commercial real estate data and analytical tools, and on-line and classroom-based training services, as well as credentialing and certification services. It also offers offshore analytical and research services with learning solutions and certification programs; and software solutions, as well as related risk management services. The company was formerly known as Dun and Bradstreet Company and changed its name to Moody's Corporation in September 2000. Moody's Corporation was founded in 1900 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
ROIC (TTM)
20.9%
ROE (TTM)
62.8%
FCF Yield
3.74%
基于过去 12 个月的数据，MCO 每股自由现金流为 N/A，投入资本回报率（ROIC）为 20.9%，这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A，FCF 收益率为 3.74%，是评估 MCO 相对估值的重要参考指标。
MCO 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率（WACC）和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上，因此敏感性分析至关重要。
MCO 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $424.84 的比较。正的安全边际（内在价值高于市价）暗示潜在低估，但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 Moody's Corporation 进行 DCF 估值的步骤：(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础，(2) 根据Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长，(3) 选择反映 MCO 风险的折现率（WACC），(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF（折现现金流）根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 Moody's Corporation，这意味着预测Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流，再折现到今天的价值。MCO 的 ROIC 为 20.9%，表明资本效率较高，支持在 DCF 模型中使用较高的增长假设。
WACC（加权平均资本成本）是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 MCO，资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%，内在价值通常下降 10-15%。
