NIKE, Inc. (NKE) Fair Value & PE Analysis

Apparel - Footwear & Accessories · NYSE

Current Price

$43.22

PE Ratio (TTM)

20.6x

Intrinsic Value

$39.81

-8.6% margin of safety

What Is NIKE, Inc.'s Fair Value?

As of 2026-07-29, applying a 21.0x earnings multiple to NIKE, Inc.'s (NKE) earnings per share of $2.1 yields a fair value estimate of $39.81 per share, versus a market price of $43.22.

Fair value from earnings multiples is sensitive to the multiple you choose. Across the sensitivity grid the estimate spans $32.37 to $48.37. This is a relative estimate anchored to earnings, not a statement of fact. For a cash flow based view, see the intrinsic value estimate on the DCF page.

How the PE model works · Recalculate in PE mode · NKE intrinsic value (DCF view)

Is NIKE, Inc. (NKE) Overvalued?

At $43.22, NKE trades about 8.6% above its PE-based fair value estimate, a modest premium over the applied earnings multiple. Check whether earnings growth justifies the price.

Assessment by Charlie Wang, a former auditor

AI MOAT & RISK ANALYSIS
AI Generated · For Reference OnlyNKE

COMPETITIVE MOAT

Brand Equity and Consumer Loyalty

Nike's iconic brand commands immense global recognition and deep emotional connections with consumers. This fosters strong brand loyalty, making it difficult for competitors to replicate.

Scale and Distribution Network

Nike possesses a vast global supply chain and extensive distribution network. This scale allows for efficient production, wider market reach, and better inventory management.

Product Innovation and Design

Continuous investment in research and development fuels Nike's ability to innovate in footwear and apparel technology. This leads to desirable, high-performance products that capture consumer interest.

INVESTMENT RISKS

Supply Chain Disruptions

Geopolitical instability, labor issues, and logistical challenges in key manufacturing regions can significantly impact Nike's production and ability to meet demand.

Economic Downturns

As a discretionary consumer brand, Nike is vulnerable to economic slowdowns. Reduced consumer spending power can lead to decreased sales and profitability.

Counterfeiting and Brand Dilution

The prevalence of counterfeit products can damage Nike's brand image and revenue. Maintaining brand exclusivity and authenticity is an ongoing challenge.

Base case

NKE base case PE valuation

Intrinsic Value

$39.81

Margin of safety

-8.6%

Expected annual return

-1.6%

Base case assumptions: 2.7% annual earnings growth, 21x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-07-29.

This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.

Customize the NKE PE valuation

Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for NIKE, Inc. respond.

Open PE Calculator for NKE

Or try DCF Valuation for NKE

Company Overview

NIKE, Inc., through its various subsidiaries, operates as a global enterprise focused on the design, development, marketing, and sale of athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories for all ages and genders. Beyond its primary offerings, the company provides a range of athletic and casual footwear, clothing, and accessories under the notable Jumpman trademark. It also distributes a variety of casual sneakers, apparel, and accessories, featuring well-known brands like Converse, Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron, and Jack Purcell. Under the NIKE brand itself, the company supplies a comprehensive line of performance sports gear and accessories, such as bags, socks, sports balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, and protective equipment. Additionally, NIKE sells various plastic products to other manufacturers. The company also markets sportswear adorned with licensed logos from college and professional sports teams and leagues. Furthermore, it engages in licensing arrangements, allowing unaffiliated parties to manufacture and sell apparel, digital devices, applications, and other sports equipment under NIKE-owned trademarks. Its extensive product catalog reaches consumers globally through diverse channels, including specialized footwear, sporting goods, athletic specialty, department, skate, tennis, and golf stores. Distribution occurs via NIKE's proprietary retail outlets, digital e-commerce platforms, independent distributors, authorized licensees, and sales representatives. Founded in 1964, the company was originally named Blue Ribbon Sports, Inc., before officially becoming NIKE, Inc. in 1971, and maintains its corporate headquarters in Beaverton, Oregon.

Financial Metrics — NKE PE Stock Valuation Data

PE Ratio (TTM)

20.6x

PEG Ratio

n/m

Earnings Yield

4.85%

ROE (TTM)

22.0%

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$31.30

Dividend Yield

3.77%

Debt/Equity

0.74x

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the PE ratio of NKE?

The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of NKE reflects how much investors pay per dollar of NIKE, Inc.'s earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Apparel - Footwear & Accessories peers and the company's own historical range.

Is NKE overvalued based on PE ratio?

NKE's PE of 20.6x combined with a PEG ratio of -7.41 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. NKE has negative earnings, so its PE and PEG ratios are not meaningful here and cannot tell you whether the stock is over or undervalued. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Apparel - Footwear & Accessories, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.

How do I value NKE stock using PE ratio?

To value NIKE, Inc. using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (20.6x) against the Apparel - Footwear & Accessories median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (-7.41) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.

What is the PEG ratio of NKE?

NKE's PEG ratio is -7.41, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (20.6x) by the expected earnings growth rate. Because NKE has negative earnings, its PEG ratio is not meaningful and should not be read as a sign of under or overvaluation. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.

Should I use PE ratio or DCF for NKE stock valuation?

PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how NKE is priced versus Apparel - Footwear & Accessories peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For NKE, with a strong ROE of 22.0%, both methods are worth using — PE for a market-relative check, DCF to stress-test whether fundamentals justify the price. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.

Learn More

P/E and DCF value NKE with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.

Price as of 2026-07-29. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.

This is an estimate, not investment advice.