Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) Stock Valuation — PE Analysis

Financial - Credit Services · NYSE

Current Price

$184.73

PE Ratio (TTM)

35.7x

Intrinsic Value

$322

+42.6% margin of safety

AI MOAT & RISK ANALYSIS
AI Generated · For Reference OnlyCOF

COMPETITIVE MOAT

Discover Acquisition Synergies

Acquiring Discover provides Capital One entry into payment processing. This integration offers significant cross-selling opportunities and strengthens its competitive position in the credit card market.

Data Analytics and AI Capabilities

Capital One Software's new AI-powered optimization for Slingshot enhances data efficiency. This technological advancement supports better risk management and customer targeting, a key differentiator.

Focus on Lower Credit Quality

Capital One's established expertise in serving customers with lower credit scores creates a niche market. This specialization builds loyalty and a deep understanding of a significant consumer segment.

INVESTMENT RISKS

Regulatory Scrutiny and Integration

The Discover acquisition will likely face intense regulatory review. Potential integration challenges and compliance hurdles could impact execution and profitability.

Intense Competition

The credit card and financial services industry is highly competitive. Competitors with strong brand recognition and diverse offerings pose a constant threat to market share.

Economic Sensitivity

Capital One's business is sensitive to economic downturns. Rising unemployment and reduced consumer spending can negatively impact loan performance and profitability.

Base case

COF base case PE valuation

A base case PE valuation for COF estimates a fair value of about $322 per share, against a current price of $184.73. The model assumes 20.0% annual earnings growth, a 36x target PE multiple, and a 10% discount rate.

Intrinsic Value

$322

Margin of safety

+42.6%

Expected annual return

+11.8%

Base case assumptions: 20.0% annual earnings growth, 36x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-06-12.

This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.

Customize the COF PE valuation

Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for Capital One Financial Corporation respond.

Open PE Calculator for COF

Or try DCF Valuation for COF

Company Overview

Capital One Financial Corporation, identified by its ticker COF, operates as a prominent financial services holding company. It oversees essential subsidiaries such as Capital One Bank (USA), National Association, and Capital One, National Association, which collectively offer a broad spectrum of financial products and services throughout the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The company structures its extensive operations into three core divisions: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. Clients can utilize various deposit instruments, including checking accounts, money market accounts, negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts, savings accounts, and time deposits. Capital One's lending solutions are equally comprehensive, encompassing credit card financing, personal auto and retail banking loans, as well as significant commercial and multifamily real estate loans, and broader commercial and industrial credit facilities. Furthermore, the corporation provides credit and debit card issuance, robust online direct banking capabilities, and specialized treasury management and custodial services. Capital One serves a diverse clientele that includes individual consumers, small enterprises, and large commercial entities. It reaches these customers through a multi-channel approach, leveraging digital platforms, traditional physical branches, innovative café locations, and other distribution points, particularly within key states like New York, Louisiana, Texas, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, and California. Established in 1988, Capital One Financial Corporation maintains its primary executive offices in McLean, Virginia.

Financial Metrics — COF PE Stock Valuation Data

PE Ratio (TTM)

35.7x

PEG Ratio

n/m

Earnings Yield

2.80%

ROE (TTM)

2.9%

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$120.75

Dividend Yield

1.62%

Debt/Equity

0.45x

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the PE ratio of COF?

The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of COF reflects how much investors pay per dollar of Capital One Financial Corporation's earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Financial - Credit Services peers and the company's own historical range.

Is COF overvalued based on PE ratio?

COF's PE of 35.7x combined with a PEG ratio of -0.47 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. COF has negative earnings, so its PE and PEG ratios are not meaningful here and cannot tell you whether the stock is over or undervalued. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Financial - Credit Services, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.

How do I value COF stock using PE ratio?

To value Capital One Financial Corporation using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (35.7x) against the Financial - Credit Services median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (-0.47) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.

What is the PEG ratio of COF?

COF's PEG ratio is -0.47, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (35.7x) by the expected earnings growth rate. Because COF has negative earnings, its PEG ratio is not meaningful and should not be read as a sign of under or overvaluation. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.

Should I use PE ratio or DCF for COF stock valuation?

PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how COF is priced versus Financial - Credit Services peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For the most reliable valuation, use PE as a quick comparability screen and DCF for a deeper fundamental analysis. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.

Learn More

P/E and DCF value COF with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.

Price as of 2026-06-12. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.

This is an estimate, not investment advice.