The AES Corporation (AES) Stock Valuation — PE Analysis

Independent Power Producers · NYSE

Current Price

$14.68

PE Ratio (TTM)

7.8x

Intrinsic Value

Outside reliable range

AI MOAT & RISK ANALYSIS
AI Generated · For Reference OnlyAES

COMPETITIVE MOAT

Take-Private Deal Enhances Stability

The $10.7 billion take-private deal led by BlackRock significantly de-risks the company. This offers shareholders a guaranteed price, removing market volatility and uncertainty.

Diversified Renewable Portfolio

AES possesses a substantial and growing portfolio of renewable energy assets across various geographies. This diversification mitigates risks associated with any single market or technology.

Long-Term Power Purchase Agreements

The company benefits from long-term contracts for its power generation. These agreements provide predictable revenue streams and insulate it from short-term energy price fluctuations.

INVESTMENT RISKS

Regulatory and Policy Changes

The energy sector is heavily regulated. Changes in environmental policies, renewable energy mandates, or grid regulations could negatively impact AES's operations and profitability.

Interest Rate Sensitivity

As a capital-intensive business, AES relies on debt financing. Rising interest rates can increase borrowing costs, impacting earnings and the ability to fund new projects.

Execution of Growth Strategy

AES's future success depends on its ability to effectively execute its growth plans, particularly in expanding its renewable energy capacity. Delays or cost overruns could hinder performance.

Base case

AES base case PE valuation

This PE estimate is more than double or less than half the market price, which usually means the model assumptions do not fit this stock. Cross-check it with the DCF valuation and analyst estimates.

Base case assumptions: 18.6% annual earnings growth, 8x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-06-12.

This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.

Customize the AES PE valuation

Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for The AES Corporation respond.

Open PE Calculator for AES

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Company Overview

The AES Corporation operates as an international enterprise primarily focused on electricity generation and distribution. Its activities involve both the ownership and management of power plants, producing and supplying electricity to a diverse clientele that includes other utility companies, large industrial consumers, and various intermediate purchasers. Beyond generation, AES also functions as a utility provider, managing infrastructure to either produce or acquire, then transmit, distribute, and ultimately sell power directly to end-users across residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental sectors. The company is also an active participant in the wholesale electricity market. For power production, AES utilizes a broad spectrum of energy sources and advanced technologies. This includes conventional fuels like coal and natural gas, as well as a significant commitment to renewables such as hydroelectric, wind, solar, and biomass. Its renewable portfolio further incorporates energy storage solutions and landfill gas. With an operational generation capacity of approximately 31,459 megawatts, the company maintains a substantial global presence, conducting business in the United States, Puerto Rico, various nations across Central and South America (including El Salvador, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Brazil, Mexico), the Caribbean, Europe, and Asia. Founded in 1981, the company was initially named Applied Energy Services, Inc., before officially rebranding to The AES Corporation in April 2000. Its corporate headquarters are located in Arlington, Virginia.

Financial Metrics — AES PE Stock Valuation Data

PE Ratio (TTM)

7.8x

PEG Ratio

n/m

Earnings Yield

12.75%

ROE (TTM)

28.9%

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$17.46

Dividend Yield

4.79%

Debt/Equity

7.01x

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the PE ratio of AES?

The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of AES reflects how much investors pay per dollar of The AES Corporation's earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Independent Power Producers peers and the company's own historical range.

Is AES overvalued based on PE ratio?

AES's PE of 7.8x combined with a PEG ratio of -1.72 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. AES has negative earnings, so its PE and PEG ratios are not meaningful here and cannot tell you whether the stock is over or undervalued. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Independent Power Producers, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.

How do I value AES stock using PE ratio?

To value The AES Corporation using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (7.8x) against the Independent Power Producers median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (-1.72) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.

What is the PEG ratio of AES?

AES's PEG ratio is -1.72, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (7.8x) by the expected earnings growth rate. Because AES has negative earnings, its PEG ratio is not meaningful and should not be read as a sign of under or overvaluation. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.

Should I use PE ratio or DCF for AES stock valuation?

PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how AES is priced versus Independent Power Producers peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For AES, with a strong ROE of 28.9%, both methods are worth using — PE for a market-relative check, DCF to stress-test whether fundamentals justify the price. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.

Learn More

Related PE Valuations

All Utilities valuations

P/E and DCF value AES with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.

Price as of 2026-06-12. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.

This is an estimate, not investment advice.