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Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is a stock valuation method that estimates intrinsic value as the present value of all future dividends. It is most appropriate for mature, dividend-paying companies with stable and predictable payout histories.

Formula

Intrinsic Value (Gordon Growth Model) = D₁ / (r − g) (D₁ = next year's dividend, r = required return, g = perpetual growth rate)

Example

A utility paying $3.00 in annual dividends, with a 9% required return and 3% dividend growth rate, has a DDM intrinsic value of $3.00 / (0.09 − 0.03) = $50. This stock valuation method only works reliably for stable dividend payers.

Why It Matters

DDM provides a disciplined stock valuation framework for income-focused investors. Understanding DDM also helps you appreciate why DCF is preferred for growth companies — DDM simply cannot value businesses that reinvest most earnings rather than distributing them.

How MiniValuator Uses Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

MiniValuator focuses on FCF-based DCF stock valuation, but references DDM in comparison articles to explain when each method is most appropriate. Our compare page covers DCF vs DDM in detail.

Related Terms

  • Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) is a fundamental stock valuation methodology that estimates the present v...
  • Intrinsic Value — Intrinsic value is the estimated true worth of an asset based on its fundamental economic characteri...
  • Terminal Value — Terminal value represents the present value of all future cash flows beyond the explicit forecast pe...
  • Perpetuity Growth Rate — The perpetuity growth rate (also called the terminal growth rate) is the constant rate at which a co...

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