Paramount Global (PARA) Intrinsic Value & DCF Valuation

Entertainment · NASDAQ

Current Price

$11.04

Intrinsic Value

$8.44

-30.8% margin of safety

What Is Paramount Global's Intrinsic Value?

As of 2025-08-07, the base-case DCF model estimates the intrinsic value of Paramount Global (PARA) at $8.44 per share, compared with a market price of $11.04, a margin of safety of -30.8%. The base case assumes -0.4% annual free cash flow growth and a 10.0% discount rate.

Across the sensitivity grid the estimate spans $6.86 to $10.26. Intrinsic value is an estimate built on assumptions, not a fact. A higher discount rate or slower growth pushes the estimate down, while stronger cash flow growth lifts it.

How the DCF works · Recalculate with your own assumptions · What is intrinsic value?

Is Paramount Global (PARA) Undervalued?

At the current price of $11.04, PARA trades above the base-case intrinsic value estimate by a meaningful margin. By this model the stock looks expensive, though faster growth than assumed would change the picture.

Assessment by Charlie Wang, a former auditor

AI MOAT & RISK ANALYSIS
AI Generated · For Reference OnlyPARA

COMPETITIVE MOAT

Iconic Content Library

Paramount possesses a vast and valuable library of intellectual property across film and television. This includes beloved franchises and characters that drive ongoing consumer engagement and licensing opportunities.

Brand Recognition and Loyalty

Brands like CBS, Paramount Pictures, and Nickelodeon have strong global recognition and established consumer loyalty. This allows for premium pricing and sustained audience attention.

Diverse Distribution Channels

The company operates across multiple platforms, including broadcast, cable, streaming, and theatrical releases. This diversified approach captures a wider audience and revenue streams.

INVESTMENT RISKS

Debt Burden and Acquisition Uncertainty

Significant debt financing for acquisitions, like the potential Warner Bros. deal, creates financial strain and uncertainty. Regulatory hurdles could also derail these strategic moves.

Content Creation Costs and ROI

The escalating costs of producing high-quality content for multiple platforms make it challenging to achieve a consistent return on investment.

Talent and Creative Dependencies

Reliance on key talent and creative teams for successful content creation poses a risk if these individuals depart or demand significantly higher compensation.

Base case

PARA base case valuation

Intrinsic Value

$8.44

Margin of safety

-30.8%

Expected annual return

-5.2%

Base case assumptions: -0.4% annual growth, 10.0% discount rate, 21x exit multiple, 5 year projection. Data as of 2025-08-07.

This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The intrinsic value changes significantly when the growth rate or discount rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.

Customize the PARA valuation

Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for Paramount Global respond.

Open DCF Calculator for PARA

Or try PE Ratio Valuation for PARA

Company Overview

Paramount Global is a prominent global media and entertainment company with extensive operations. It is a major producer and distributor of content, curating diverse programming for the CBS Television Network. This includes everything from popular primetime comedies and dramas, reality series, and special events, to children's shows, daytime and late-night programs, and game shows. Furthermore, it supplies a wide array of news, public affairs, sports, and general entertainment broadcasts, alongside syndicated talk shows, court shows, and newsmagazines. Its reach extends to the ownership and management of 29 local broadcast television stations. The company also operates CBS Sports Network, a dedicated 24-hour cable channel for sports enthusiasts, and offers various streaming and cable subscription services. A cornerstone of its digital offerings is Paramount+, its flagship subscription video-on-demand (SVOD) and live streaming platform. Paramount Global develops and acquires programming tailored for diverse media outlets, spanning subscription cable networks, streaming platforms, and both premium and basic cable channels. Beyond its television and streaming endeavors, the company is also deeply involved in the motion picture industry, developing, producing, financing, acquiring, and distributing feature films. Founded in 1986 and headquartered in New York City, the entity now known as Paramount Global officially adopted its current name in February 2022, having previously operated as ViacomCBS Inc. It functions as a subsidiary under National Amusements, Inc.

Financial Metrics — PARA Stock Valuation Data

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$26.17

FCF/Share (TTM)

$0.29

ROIC (TTM)

3.7%

ROE (TTM)

-4.6%

P/FCF

21.5x

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

FCF Yield

4.66%

Debt/Equity

1.42x

Based on trailing twelve-month data, PARA shows a free cash flow per share of $0.29 and a ROIC of 3.7%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of 21.5x and FCF yield of 4.66% are important context metrics when evaluating PARA's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of PARA?

Paramount Global currently generates $0.29 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $11.04, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.

Is PARA undervalued?

PARA trades at a P/FCF ratio of 21.5x with a free cash flow yield of 4.66%. This P/FCF is in a moderate range. However, whether PARA is truly undervalued requires comparing the DCF intrinsic value to the current market price and evaluating whether the margin of safety is sufficient for your risk tolerance.

How do I value PARA stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on Paramount Global: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($0.29) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Entertainment industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting PARA's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 1.42x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to PARA?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Paramount Global, this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Entertainment trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. PARA's ROIC of 3.7% means the company's return on invested capital sits below the level that typically clears its cost of capital.

How does WACC affect PARA stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For PARA, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.42x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 7.0x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.

Learn More

DCF and P/E value PARA with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.

Price as of 2025-08-07. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.

This is an estimate, not investment advice.