当前价格
$26.05
市盈率(TTM)
8.6x
内在价值
$31.59
安全边际 +17.5%
竞争护城河
↑网络效应
AT&T拥有庞大的无线和固网基础设施,用户越多,网络价值越大,吸引更多用户,形成网络效应壁垒。
↑客户粘性
捆绑服务(如电视、互联网、手机)增加了客户转换成本,使得用户更倾向于留在现有生态系统中。
↑规模经济
庞大的用户基础和基础设施规模带来了显著的成本优势,使其在提供服务时比小型竞争对手更具成本效益。
投资风险
↓竞争加剧
电信行业竞争激烈,包括传统运营商和新兴技术公司,价格战和市场份额争夺可能侵蚀利润。
↓监管环境
政府对电信行业的监管政策(如频谱分配、定价、并购)可能对AT&T的业务运营和战略产生重大影响。
↓债务负担
公司庞大的债务规模可能限制其财务灵活性,增加利息支出,并在经济下行时带来偿债风险。
基准情形
T 的基准情形 PE 估值估算每股公允价值约为 $31.59,当前股价为 $26.05。该模型假设盈利年增长率 3.1%、目标 P/E 倍数 8.4x、折现率 10%。
内在价值
$31.59
安全边际
+17.5%
预期年化收益
+3.9%
基准情形假设:盈利年增长率 3.1%、目标 P/E 倍数 8.4x、折现率 10%、预测 5 年。数据截至 2026-09-11。
本基准情形采用默认假设,不构成投资建议。当目标 PE 或盈利增长率变化时,公允价值会显著改变。打开计算器可设置你自己的假设,并查看完整的敏感性区间。
Globally, AT&T Inc. delivers an array of telecommunication, media, and technology offerings. Within its Communications division, the company supplies wireless voice and data communication services. It also markets mobile devices, such as smartphones, wireless data access cards, and portable computing gadgets, alongside accessories like protective cases and hands-free equipment. These products are distributed through AT&T's proprietary outlets, authorized agents, and external retail partners. Furthermore, this segment caters to a broad clientele including multinational corporations, small-to-medium-sized enterprises, government entities, and wholesale clients. For these customers, it delivers an extensive suite of services encompassing data, voice connectivity, cybersecurity, cloud-based solutions, outsourcing, and both managed and professional services, in addition to client-side equipment. Residential consumers also benefit from this division's provision of high-speed fiber optic internet and traditional landline telephone services. Its communication-related offerings and merchandise are promoted under well-known brand names such as AT&T, Cricket, AT&T PREPAID, and AT&T Fiber. The Latin America segment is responsible for delivering wireless communication services within Mexico, as well as video entertainment services across the wider Latin American region. These services and products are branded as AT&T and Unefon. Established in 1983 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the corporation was previously known as SBC Communications Inc. and officially adopted the name AT&T Inc. in 2005.
市盈率(TTM)
8.6x
PEG 比率
0.12
盈利收益率
11.89%
ROE (TTM)
19.5%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$18.34
股息率
4.26%
Debt/Equity
1.47x
T 的过去 12 个月市盈率反映投资者为 AT&T Inc. 每一美元收益所支付的价格。该指标在与Telecommunications Services同类公司和公司自身历史区间对比时最有意义。
T 的市盈率 8.6x 结合 PEG 比率 0.12 提供了增长调整后的视角。PEG 低于 1.0 表明市盈率相对于盈利增速偏低。注意 PE 估值最适合盈利稳定的成熟公司——对于高增长或周期性Telecommunications Services,DCF 分析可能更合适。
对 AT&T Inc. 使用 PE 估值的步骤:(1) 将当前市盈率 (8.6x)与Telecommunications Services中位数对比评估相对定价,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (0.12)以调整增长预期,(3) 参考 5 年 PE 历史区间判断当前位置,(4) 用目标 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允价值。这种相对估值方法与 DCF 的绝对估值互为补充。
T 的 PEG 比率为 0.12,由市盈率(8.6x)除以预期盈利增速计算。PEG 低于 1.0 意味着市盈率相对于预期盈利增速偏低。注意 PEG 的准确性取决于增长预期的可靠性。
PE 市盈率给出快速的相对定价——T 相对于Telecommunications Services同类的估值水平。DCF 基于预期自由现金流提供绝对价值。对于 T,ROE 达到 19.5%,两种方法都值得使用——PE 做市场对比,DCF 验证基本面是否支撑当前价格。两种方法各有盲区:PE 忽略了资本结构和现金流质量,DCF 则对增长率和折现率假设非常敏感。
PE 与 DCF 使用不同的方法和假设为 T 估值,因此两者的结论可能不同。可对比 DCF 内在价值。
价格截至 2026-09-11。 财务数据来自 Financial Modeling Prep(过去 12 个月)· 估值方法论由 Charlie Wang 提供。
这是估计值,不构成投资建议。