当前价格
$23.58
PE Ratio (TTM)
7.7x
内在价值
$41.79
安全边际 +43.6%
竞争护城河
↑庞大用户基础
AT&T拥有庞大的无线和宽带用户基础,这构成了显著的网络效应和客户粘性。新用户获取成本高昂,现有用户转换成本也较高。
↑5G网络优势
公司在5G网络建设上投入巨大,已覆盖广泛区域。这为其在企业和消费者市场提供差异化服务奠定了基础,尤其是在需要高速低延迟连接的领域。
↑企业服务生态
AT&T在企业通信和连接服务领域拥有深厚积累,与思科等公司合作拓展车联网等新兴业务,构建了多元化的收入来源和客户关系。
投资风险
↓卫星互联网竞争
SpaceX的Starlink等卫星互联网服务正在快速发展,可能对AT&T的传统宽带业务构成颠覆性威胁,尤其是在农村和偏远地区。
↓监管与诉讼风险
最高法院近期对无线运营商不利的裁决,以及FCC相关案件,表明监管环境可能对公司业务模式和盈利能力产生负面影响。
↓资本支出压力
持续的5G网络升级和维护需要巨额资本支出,这可能挤压自由现金流,并影响其在其他领域的投资能力。
基准情形
T 的基准情形 PE 估值估算每股公允价值约为 $41.79,当前股价为 $23.58。该模型假设盈利年增长率 11.4%、目标 P/E 倍数 8x、折现率 10%。
内在价值
$41.79
安全边际
+43.6%
预期年化收益
+12.1%
基准情形假设:盈利年增长率 11.4%、目标 P/E 倍数 8x、折现率 10%、预测 5 年。数据截至 2026-06-12。
本基准情形采用默认假设,不构成投资建议。当目标 PE 或盈利增长率变化时,公允价值会显著改变。打开计算器可设置你自己的假设,并查看完整的敏感性区间。
Globally, AT&T Inc. delivers an array of telecommunication, media, and technology offerings. Within its Communications division, the company supplies wireless voice and data communication services. It also markets mobile devices, such as smartphones, wireless data access cards, and portable computing gadgets, alongside accessories like protective cases and hands-free equipment. These products are distributed through AT&T's proprietary outlets, authorized agents, and external retail partners. Furthermore, this segment caters to a broad clientele including multinational corporations, small-to-medium-sized enterprises, government entities, and wholesale clients. For these customers, it delivers an extensive suite of services encompassing data, voice connectivity, cybersecurity, cloud-based solutions, outsourcing, and both managed and professional services, in addition to client-side equipment. Residential consumers also benefit from this division's provision of high-speed fiber optic internet and traditional landline telephone services. Its communication-related offerings and merchandise are promoted under well-known brand names such as AT&T, Cricket, AT&T PREPAID, and AT&T Fiber. The Latin America segment is responsible for delivering wireless communication services within Mexico, as well as video entertainment services across the wider Latin American region. These services and products are branded as AT&T and Unefon. Established in 1983 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the corporation was previously known as SBC Communications Inc. and officially adopted the name AT&T Inc. in 2005.
PE Ratio (TTM)
7.7x
PEG Ratio
0.09
Earnings Yield
12.95%
ROE (TTM)
19.6%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$18.09
Dividend Yield
4.71%
Debt/Equity
1.50x
T 的过去 12 个月市盈率反映投资者为 AT&T Inc. 每一美元收益所支付的价格。该指标在与Telecommunications Services同类公司和公司自身历史区间对比时最有意义。
T 的市盈率 7.7x 结合 PEG 比率 0.09 提供了增长调整后的视角。PEG 低于 1.0 表明 T 相对于盈利增速可能被低估。注意 PE 估值最适合盈利稳定的成熟公司——对于高增长或周期性Telecommunications Services,DCF 分析可能更合适。
对 AT&T Inc. 使用 PE 估值的步骤:(1) 将当前市盈率 (7.7x)与Telecommunications Services中位数对比评估相对定价,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (0.09)以调整增长预期,(3) 参考 5 年 PE 历史区间判断当前位置,(4) 用目标 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允价值。这种相对估值方法与 DCF 的绝对估值互为补充。
T 的 PEG 比率为 0.09,由市盈率(7.7x)除以预期盈利增速计算。PEG 低于 1.0 传统上被认为是低估的信号——市场可能未充分定价增长潜力。注意 PEG 的准确性取决于增长预期的可靠性。
PE 市盈率给出快速的相对定价——T 相对于Telecommunications Services同类的估值水平。DCF 基于预期自由现金流提供绝对价值。对于 T,ROE 达到 19.6%,两种方法都值得使用——PE 做市场对比,DCF 验证基本面是否支撑当前价格。两种方法各有盲区:PE 忽略了资本结构和现金流质量,DCF 则对增长率和折现率假设非常敏感。
PE 与 DCF 使用不同的方法和假设为 T 估值,因此两者的结论可能不同。可对比 DCF 内在价值。
价格截至 2026-06-12。 财务数据来自 Financial Modeling Prep(过去 12 个月)· 估值方法论由 Charlie Wang 提供。
这是估计值,不构成投资建议。