当前价格
$227.73
PE Ratio (TTM)
111.0x
内在价值
$140.53
安全边际 -62.1%
截至 2026-06-12,对 AbbVie Inc.(ABBV)每股收益 $2.05 套用 50.0x 的盈利倍数,得出每股公允价值估算约 $140.53,当前股价为 $227.73。
基于盈利倍数的公允价值对所选倍数很敏感。在敏感性网格上,估算区间为 $122.03 至 $161.17。这是锚定盈利的相对估算,并非事实定论。如需基于现金流的视角,请参阅 DCF 页面的内在价值估算。
我们的 PE 模型如何运作 · 用 PE 模式重新计算 · ABBV 内在价值(DCF 视角)
在 $227.73 的价格下,ABBV 高于其基于 PE 的公允价值估算,意味着市场为其支付了高于所用盈利倍数的溢价。按此模型,除非盈利成长追上股价,否则该股看起来偏贵。
竞争护城河
↑专利保护
核心药物如Humira的专利到期后,AbbVie通过持续的研发和收购,成功推出了新一代重磅药物,如Skyrizi和Rinvoq,有效填补了收入缺口,维持了市场领先地位。
↑研发管线实力
AbbVie在肿瘤学领域通过ADC(抗体偶联药物)策略取得进展,如Decnupaz的获批,显示了其在创新疗法上的持续投入和成功能力,为未来增长奠定基础。
↑品牌忠诚度与网络效应
其成熟药物在医生和患者中建立了高度的信任和使用习惯,尤其是在免疫学和肿瘤学领域,这种品牌忠诚度构成了强大的转换壁垒。
投资风险
↓专利悬崖风险
尽管AbbVie成功应对了Humira的专利到期,但未来仍可能面临其他重磅药物的专利到期挑战,新药研发和上市的成功率存在不确定性。
↓监管与定价压力
全球药品监管政策日益严格,尤其是在药品定价方面面临的压力,可能影响其新药的上市速度和盈利能力。
↓竞争加剧
生物技术和制药行业的竞争激烈,尤其是在肿瘤学和免疫学等关键领域,新进入者和现有竞争对手的创新可能侵蚀市场份额。
基准情形
内在价值
$140.53
安全边际
-62.1%
预期年化收益
-9.2%
基准情形假设:盈利年增长率 15.1%、目标 P/E 倍数 50x、折现率 10%、预测 5 年。数据截至 2026-06-12。
本基准情形采用默认假设,不构成投资建议。当目标 PE 或盈利增长率变化时,公允价值会显著改变。打开计算器可设置你自己的假设,并查看完整的敏感性区间。
AbbVie Inc. is a global biopharmaceutical company dedicated to the discovery, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of advanced medicines. Its extensive therapeutic portfolio encompasses several key areas: Immunology and Inflammation: Leading products include HUMIRA, an injectable therapy for autoimmune and intestinal Behçet's diseases; SKYRIZI, which addresses moderate to severe plaque psoriasis in adults; and RINVOQ, a JAK inhibitor for moderate to severe active rheumatoid arthritis in adult patients. Oncology and Hematology: For blood cancers, AbbVie provides IMBRUVICA and VENCLEXTA (a BCL-2 inhibitor), both indicated for adult patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) and small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL). Virology: MAVYRET offers a treatment option for individuals with chronic HCV genotype 1-6 infection. Gastroenterology and Endocrinology: The company supplies CREON, an enzyme replacement therapy for exocrine pancreatic insufficiency, and Synthroid, used to manage hypothyroidism. Linzess/Constella helps treat irritable bowel syndrome with constipation (IBS-C) and chronic idiopathic constipation. Women's Health and Urology: Lupron serves as a palliative treatment for conditions like advanced prostate cancer, endometriosis, central precocious puberty, and anemia caused by uterine fibroids. ORILISSA, a nonpeptide small molecule GnRH antagonist, is designed for women experiencing moderate to severe endometriosis pain. Neurology: AbbVie offers Duopa and Duodopa, a levodopa-carbidopa intestinal gel for Parkinson's disease, and Ubrelvy to treat migraines (with or without aura) in adults. The therapeutic formulation of Botox is also part of its offerings. Ophthalmology: Its eye care segment features Lumigan/Ganfort (a bimatoprost ophthalmic solution) and Alphagan/Combigan (an alpha-adrenergic receptor agonist), both aimed at reducing elevated intraocular pressure (IOP) in patients with open-angle glaucoma (OAG) or ocular hypertension. Restasis, a calcineurin inhibitor immunosuppressant, is provided to enhance tear production, alongside other specialized eye care products. AbbVie Inc. also engages in research collaborations, including a partnership with Dragonfly Therapeutics, Inc. The company was founded in 2012 and operates from its headquarters in North Chicago, Illinois.
PE Ratio (TTM)
111.0x
PEG Ratio
n/m
Earnings Yield
0.90%
ROE (TTM)
68.0%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$35.41
Dividend Yield
2.96%
Debt/Equity
2.65x
ABBV 的过去 12 个月市盈率反映投资者为 AbbVie Inc. 每一美元收益所支付的价格。该指标在与Drug Manufacturers - General同类公司和公司自身历史区间对比时最有意义。
ABBV 的市盈率 111.0x 结合 PEG 比率 -8.42 提供了增长调整后的视角。ABBV 盈利为负,市盈率和 PEG 比率此时均无意义,无法判断股票被高估还是低估。注意 PE 估值最适合盈利稳定的成熟公司——对于高增长或周期性Drug Manufacturers - General,DCF 分析可能更合适。
对 AbbVie Inc. 使用 PE 估值的步骤:(1) 将当前市盈率 (111.0x)与Drug Manufacturers - General中位数对比评估相对定价,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (-8.42)以调整增长预期,(3) 参考 5 年 PE 历史区间判断当前位置,(4) 用目标 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允价值。这种相对估值方法与 DCF 的绝对估值互为补充。
ABBV 的 PEG 比率为 -8.42,由市盈率(111.0x)除以预期盈利增速计算。由于 ABBV 盈利为负,其 PEG 比率没有意义,不应被解读为低估或高估的信号。注意 PEG 的准确性取决于增长预期的可靠性。
PE 市盈率给出快速的相对定价——ABBV 相对于Drug Manufacturers - General同类的估值水平。DCF 基于预期自由现金流提供绝对价值。对于 ABBV,ROE 达到 68.0%,两种方法都值得使用——PE 做市场对比,DCF 验证基本面是否支撑当前价格。两种方法各有盲区:PE 忽略了资本结构和现金流质量,DCF 则对增长率和折现率假设非常敏感。
PE 与 DCF 使用不同的方法和假设为 ABBV 估值,因此两者的结论可能不同。可对比 DCF 内在价值。
价格截至 2026-06-12。 财务数据来自 Financial Modeling Prep(过去 12 个月)· 估值方法论由 Charlie Wang 提供。
这是估计值,不构成投资建议。