要点总结
Both DCF and DDM are absolute stock valuation methods based on the present value of future cash flows. DCF uses free cash flow — applicable to almost any company. DDM uses dividends — only reliable for consistent dividend payers. DCF is the more versatile stock valuation tool; DDM is simpler but severely limited in scope.
| 功能特性 | DCF Analysis | Dividend Discount Model (DDM) |
|---|---|---|
| Stock Valuation Method | Present value of future free cash flows | Present value of future dividends |
| Applicable Universe | Any company with positive or forecast FCF | Only stable dividend-paying companies |
| Growth Companies | Yes — models growth phases explicitly | No — fails for non-dividend payers |
| Key Input | Free Cash Flow and WACC | Dividend and required return |
| Terminal Value | Perpetuity growth or exit multiple | Gordon Growth Model (perpetuity) |
| Stock Valuation Accuracy | High when assumptions are calibrated | High only for regulated, mature dividend payers |
| Sensitivity | High — multiple input levers | Medium — fewer inputs but highly sensitive to g |
| Complexity | Moderate — requires FCF projection | Simple — two to three inputs |
Use DCF stock valuation for growth companies, tech stocks, and any business that reinvests profits rather than paying dividends. It is the more universal method.
Use DDM stock valuation for blue-chip utilities, REITs, and large-cap financials with decades of stable dividend growth and predictable payout ratios.
Try MiniValuator's DCF stock valuation — works for dividend and non-dividend stocks alike.
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