Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is a stock valuation method that estimates intrinsic value as the present value of all future dividends. It is most appropriate for mature, dividend-paying companies with stable and predictable payout histories.

Formel

Intrinsic Value (Gordon Growth Model) = D₁ / (r − g) (D₁ = next year's dividend, r = required return, g = perpetual growth rate)

Beispiel

A utility paying $3.00 in annual dividends, with a 9% required return and 3% dividend growth rate, has a DDM intrinsic value of $3.00 / (0.09 − 0.03) = $50. This stock valuation method only works reliably for stable dividend payers.

Warum es wichtig ist

DDM provides a disciplined stock valuation framework for income-focused investors. Understanding DDM also helps you appreciate why DCF is preferred for growth companies — DDM simply cannot value businesses that reinvest most earnings rather than distributing them.

Wie MiniValuator Dividend Discount Model (DDM) verwendet

MiniValuator focuses on FCF-based DCF stock valuation, but references DDM in comparison articles to explain when each method is most appropriate. Our compare page covers DCF vs DDM in detail.

In der Praxis

Verwandte Begriffe

  • Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) is a fundamental stock valuation methodology that estimates the present v...
  • Intrinsic Value Intrinsic value is the estimated true worth of an asset based on its fundamental economic characteri...
  • Terminal Value Terminal value represents the present value of all future cash flows beyond the explicit forecast pe...
  • Perpetuity Growth Rate The perpetuity growth rate (also called the terminal growth rate) is the constant rate at which a co...

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