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极简股票估值工具(DCF & PE),源自我们的投资社区。

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DCF vs Graham Formula: Value Investing Methods Compared

要点总结

DCF is a comprehensive forward-looking stock valuation model that projects future cash flows. The Graham formula is a simplified rule-of-thumb using EPS and book value. DCF offers more stock valuation precision; Graham offers speed and simplicity.

功能特性DCF AnalysisGraham Formula
CreatorJohn Burr Williams (1938)Benjamin Graham (1962)
ApproachProjects future free cash flowsUses current EPS and book value
FormulaSum of discounted future FCFs√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)
Inputs NeededFCF, growth rate, WACC, terminal valueEPS and Book Value Per Share
Time to Calculate2-5 minutes with a tool10 seconds
AccuracyHigher, but depends on assumptionsRough estimate, misses growth
Growth ConsiderationExplicitly modeledNot directly considered
Best ForGrowth and mature companiesStable, asset-heavy value stocks

选择 DCF Analysis,如果…

Use DCF stock valuation for thorough analysis of any company with predictable cash flows. It handles growth companies, different capital structures, and provides sensitivity analysis.

选择 Graham Formula,如果…

Use the Graham formula as a quick stock valuation screen for deep value stocks — especially useful for asset-heavy, low-growth companies where book value is meaningful.

相关资源

DCF 方法论 →内在价值 →WACC →安全边际 →完整术语表 →

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